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Bjoern Ognibeni's avatar

Very good analysis. 💯 But isn’t this part of bigger problem?

Western tech companies are no longer focused on creating great products for happy customers. Instead their only soulless mission is to drive up market valuation.

That’s what they scaling, and that’s why they are producing more narratives than products.

Because trying this with innovative products is risky. Those can be evaluated, have to generate sales or, even worse, profits. And no competition is forcing them to do this.

Narratives about a glorious future just have to be believed. And this belief can be assured through eye-popping demos ("look, we can make cooler videos!“), great vision (AGI tomorrow) and huge investments that would be totally insane if the future were not glorious.

So isn’t AI just the latest iteration of a problem that we have had much longer: a market economy without competition but lots of monopolies that have no idea why they are doing what they are doing?

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Nic Windley's avatar

Really insightful piece, Francesco — especially your framing of hype vs fundamentals. At Qognetix we’ve come to similar conclusions. Our work on biophysically faithful spiking-neuron engines shows that biology offers something today’s LLMs can’t: predictability, bounded precision, and efficiency closer to how the brain actually works. Instead of chasing diminishing returns on scale, we’re building tools that match canonical neuroscience benchmarks (Brian2, NEURON, NEST) while being deployable on standard hardware.

If the “trillion-dollar crash” is inevitable, the next wave won’t come from ever-larger black-box models, but from substrates that combine scientific validity with commercial accessibility. That’s the opportunity we’re pursuing at Qognetix — a path beyond the bubble to systems that are trustworthy, transparent, and fit for real-world use.

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